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UK Hydrological Outlook

Latest Outlook

Period: From November 2026   

Issued on 10.11.2026 using data to the end of October 2026

October rainfall was generally average or above average across the UK. Forecasts favour wetter-than-average conditions for November to January, increasing the chances of a recovery in river flows in many responsive catchments. In November, flows are expected to be normal to above normal across much of northern and western Britain. However, the effects of recent dry conditions are likely to persist in groundwater-fed catchments, with river flows and groundwater levels in southern and eastern England remaining below normal through the November to January period.

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