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Below is a non-exhaustive list of publications and outputs which refer to or use the Hydrological Outlook methods or results. We welcome additions to this list, so please do let us know, if you would like your work to feature by contacting us.

 

  • ARRIBAS, A., M. GLOVER, A. MAIDENS, K. PETERSON, M. GORDON, C. MACLACHLAN, R. GRAHAM, D. FEREDAY, J. CAMP, A. A. SCAIFE, P. XAVIER, P. MCLEAN, A. COLMAN, and S. CUSACK, 2011: The GloSea4 Ensemble Prediction System for Seasonal Forecasting. Monthly Weather Review, 139, 1891-1910.

 

 

  • BELL, V. A., DAVIES, H. N., KAY, A. L., MARSH, T. J., BROOKSHAW A., JENKINS, A. (2013), Developing a large-scale water-balance approach to seasonal forecasting: application to the 2012 drought in Britain. Hydrol. Process., 27: 3003–3012. doi: 10.1002/hyp.9863

 

  • FOLLAND, C. K., HANNAFORD, J., BLOOMFIELD, J. P., KENDON, M., SVENSSON, C., MARCHANT, B. P., PRIOR, J., WALLACE, E. 2015. Multi-annual droughts in the English Lowlands: a review of their characteristics and climate drivers in the winter half year. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 19, 2353-2375, DOI:10.5194/hess-19-2353-2015.

 

  • JACKSON, C., MACKAY, J., PACHOCKA, M.; BROOKSHAW, A., SCAIFE, A.  2014 Seasonal forecasting of groundwater levels in natural aquifers in the United Kingdom. [Speech] In: EGU General Assembly 2014, Vienna, Austria, 28 Apr - 2 May 2014. (Unpublished) http://nora.nerc.ac.uk/id/eprint/507459.

 

  • JACKSON, C., MACKAY, J., WARD, R., PACHOCKA, M.; BROOKSHAW, A., SCAIFE, A. 2014 The science behind the Hydrological Outlook seasonal groundwater level forecasts. [Poster] In: Groundwater Modelling Workshop: Pushing the Boundaries, Birmingham, UK, 2014. (Unpublished) http://nora.nerc.ac.uk/507455/.

 

  • MACKAY, J.D., JACKSON, C.R., BROOKSHAW, A., SCAIFE, A.A., COOK, J., WARD. R.S. 2015. Seasonal forecasting of groundwater levels in principal aquifers of the United Kingdom. Journal of Hydrology. 530, 815-828, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2015.10.018.

 

  • MACLACHLAN, C., ARRIBAS, A., PETERSON, K. A., MAIDENS, A., FEREDAY, D., SCAIFE, A. A., GORDON, M., VELLINGA, M., WILLIAMS, A., COMER, R. E., CAMP, J., XAVIER, P. and MADEC, G. (2015), Global Seasonal forecast system version 5 (GloSea5): a high-resolution seasonal forecast system. Q.J.R. Meteorol. Soc., 141: 1072–1084. doi: 10.1002/qj.2396

 

  • SCAIFE, A. A., et al. (2014), Skillful long-range prediction of European and North American winters, Geophys. Res. Lett., 41, 2514–2519, doi:10.1002/2014GL059637.

 

  • SVENSSON, C. 2014. Seasonal river flow forecasts for the United Kingdom using persistence and historical analogues. Hydrol. Sci. J. (accepted manuscript posted online 8 Dec. 2014, and final version published online 17 Dec. 2015), 17 pp. DOI: 10.1080/02626667.2014.992788.

 

  • SVENSSON, C. 2014. Seasonal UK river flow forecasts based on persistence and historical analogy. Abstract for poster presentation to the European Geosciences Union General Assembly, Vienna, Austria, 28 April – 3 May 2014. Geophysical Research Abstracts, 16, EGU2014-3868.

 

 

 

  • SVENSSON, C., BELL, V. A., BROOKSHAW, A., SCAIFE, A. A., MACKAY, J. D., JACKSON, C. R., ARRIBAS, A., WILLIAMS, A. 2014. Improving winter river flow forecasts for the UK. Abstract for oral presentation to the European Geosciences Union General Assembly, Vienna, Austria, 28 April – 3 May 2014. Geophysical Research Abstracts, 16, EGU2014-3987.

 

  • SVENSSON, C., BROOKSHAW, A., SCAIFE, A. A., BELL, V. A., MACKAY, J. D., JACKSON, C. R., DAVIES, H. N., ARRIBAS, A., WILLIAMS, A. 2015. Long range forecasts of UK winter river flow. Environ. Res. Let., 10, 064006 (8 pp.), DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/10/6/064006.

 

  • WARD, R., BLOOMFIELD, J., JACKSON, C., MACKAY, J., MCKENZIE, A., PACHOCKA, M. 2014 The Hydrological Outlook UK. [Poster] In: Groundwater Modelling Workshop: Pushing the Boundaries, Birmingham, UK, 2014. (Unpublished) http://nora.nerc.ac.uk/507456/.